By James Rickards Don’t ever think for a minute that the central bankers know what they’re doing. They don’t. And that’s my own view, but I’ve heard that recently from a couple central bankers. I recently had spent some time with one member of the FOMC, the Federal Open Market Committee, and another member of the Monetary Policy Committee of the Bank of England, which is the equivalent [...]
Tag: deflation
Duck And Cover —- The Lull Is Breaking, The Storm Is Nigh
By David Stockman September 15, 2008 is the day that Lehman died and the moment that the world’s central banks led by the Fed went all-in. As it has turned out, that was an epochal leap into the most dangerous monetary deformation that the world has ever known. It needn’t have been. What was really happening at this pregnant moment was that the remnants of honest capital markets were[...]
Welcome to the New Depression
By James Rickards The United States is living through an economic depression that began in 2007. It’s part of a larger global depression, the first since the 1930s. This New Depression will continue indefinitely unless policy changes are made in the years ahead. The present path and future course of this depression have profound implications for you as an investor. If you don’t grasp this[...]
Why You Should Be Prepared for Both Inflation and Deflation – James Rickards
Daily Reckoning Editor's Note: The debate over whether or not the US economy will experience inflation or deflation in the near term is an extremely heated one… According to our own Chris Mayer, two respected economists almost came to blows over it. But, as Jim Rickards explains below, there really is no debate, since they’re both equally likely. Read on… Today’s investment climate is[...]
Global Business Outlook: “Darkest Picture since Financial Crisis.” “US of Greatest Concern”
by Wolf Richter The plunging price of oil since June has been a leading indicator: global economic growth is in trouble, despite six years of unprecedented central-bank free-money policies that caused asset prices to soar but has accomplished little else. This scenario has now been confirmed by businesses that help drive the economy forward – not by economists and Wall Street hype mongers:[...]
Gold Price Forecast Per US Federal Reserve Balance Sheet
By Vronsky Since 1999 the gold price has moved in concert with the growth in the US Federal Reserve Balance Sheet…including the recent correction in both during the past three years. Accordingly, the following objective analysis will forecast the gold price out to 2016…based solely on historical Central Bank data. The above chart estimates two Balance Sheet growth rates from 2012-2016[...]
Open Windows of Opportunity With Jim Rickards
Formulating a Strategy when Inflation and Deflation Stare You in the Face by James Rickards Today’s investment climate is the most challenging one you have ever faced. At least since the late 1970s, perhaps since the 1930s. This is because inflation and deflation and deflation are both possibilities in the near term. Most investors can prepare for one of the other, but preparing for both[...]
This Will Dislocate Every Market In The World – David Stockman
Today David Stockman warned King World News about what he says will dislocate every market in the world, including stocks, bonds, commodities, and real estate. KWN takes Stockman’s warnings very seriously because he is the man former President Reagan called on in 1981, during that crisis, to become Director of the Office of Management and Budget and help save the United States from collapse.[...]
Here’s What Central Bankers Will Do Next
by Bill Bonner Worse Off We’ve been meaning to write about what hasn’t happened yet. Not that we claim any knowledge of tomorrow or the day after. But we can look at the present. And here’s a guess about where it might lead. The middle classes – aka “the voters” – expressed themselves last week. They have been sorely used and they know it. The biggest money-fabricating program of[...]
China hoarding gold to challenge U.S. dollar? – USA Today
by Eric McWhinnie, The Cheat Sheet USA Today In a world filled with fiat currencies, how important is gold’s role in the financial system? Proponents often view the precious metal as a hedge against economic chaos, while critics typically claim gold is hardly more than an unproductive rock. Interestingly, some countries appear to believe gold is quite important, and one former Fed chair[...]