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Tag: bubble

The Stock Market’s Unnatural Natural Logarithm

This story does not end well. Just ask Bill Miller. Remember Legg Mason’s Bill Miller? His claim to fame was that he beat the S&P 500 for 15 years in a row. In year 16 (2000), he got slaughtered so badly that his 16-year ROR went well below the S&P 500 ROR over 16 years. (Thanks to John Titus - Best Evidence – for reminding about the Bill Miller story) All Bill Miller did was heavily [...]

“Earnings Estimates Haven’t Declined By This Much Since The Financial Crisis”

by David Kranzler  Investment Research Dynamics All ten sectors [of the S&P 500] have recorded a decline in expected earnings growth since the beginning of the quarter due to downward revisions to earnings estimates… – John Butters, FactSet I guess declining earnings estimates for America’s biggest companies are the perfect reason for the S&P 500 to have popped 1.22% today.[...]

If ever the stock market flashed a ‘sell’ signal, it’s now – It’s not too late to cash-out and reallocate

By: Michael Sincere MIAMI (MarketWatch) — I know what you’re thinking. You’re thinking: Is this market going to go up another 10%? I have no idea. But this being a powerful market that can blow your account clean off if you’re wrong, you’ve gotta ask yourself: “Do I feel lucky?” Most investors seem to feel pretty confident that this market will never go down. But if you’ve[...]