A glimpse of America's future? Author: JOHN RUBINO Since the beginning of recorded history, people have viewed gold as 1) money and 2) something to be replaced by sexier financial instruments whenever possible. Today’s fiat currencies, for instance, exist because governments find creating “wealth” out of thin air much more fun than living with a fixed money supply. And[...]
Category: Opinion
CSPM – Wealth Allocation – January 2024
Going into 2024 the CSPM™ asset allocation model looks like this: Equities overall, are rich. Long-Term Bonds face supply headwinds from large increases in debt and credit expansion. Shorter-Term Bonds and cash equivalents have attractive yields. Credit Spreads on Corporate Bonds are historically tight, agency mortgage spreads offer value. Allocation to[...]
Welcome To the Third World, Part 1: California’s “Surprise” $67 Billion Deficit
This is the first in what promises to be a long series showing what happens when governments run out of money and start cutting services. California is the obvious place to start.
Gold Outlook 2024
Where do we land from here? Gold had a strong 2023, defying expectations amid a high interest rate environment, and outperforming commodities, bonds and most stock markets. As we look forward to 2024 investors will likely see one of three scenarios (Table 1). Market consensus anticipates a ‘soft landing’ in the US, which should also positively affect the global economy. Historically, soft [...]
Are We Too Dumb To Survive?
Sometimes it seems like it. Consider the following Author: JOHN RUBINO CBS News just conducted a poll that paints Americans as too economically illiterate to deserve a future of freedom and prosperity. Here’s how Tom Woods, author of Diary of a Psychosis: How Public Health Disgraced Itself During COVID Mania, addressed it in a recent mailing: Sometimes you look[...]
Recession Watch: Forget About That Soft Landing
Demand is cratering for houses, trucks, toys, you name it Author: JOHN RUBINO Americans have spent the past few years putting ever-bigger parts of their day-to-day lives on plastic. And now the stats are brutal: Total credit card debt recently pierced $1 trillion while personal interest expense has gone parabolic. Credit card usage, as a result, has dropped back below[...]
De-Dollarization Watch: It’s Definitely Happening
Author: JOHN RUBINO De-dollarization events that would once have been a big deal have become common lately. Some examples: UAE officially stops using dollar for oil trades (Watcher) - The United Arab Emirates (UAE) is asking BRICS countries to settle oil trade in local currencies and not the U.S. dollar. The Middle Eastern nation is aiming to diversify its economic[...]
Someday This Will Happen To Silver – And everything will change
Author: JOHN RUBINO In March 2022, there was a disruption in the nickel market that spiked the metal’s price. The lucky investors and market-makers who owned long futures contracts made fortunes. Just kidding. The exchange on which the futures traded canceled them and stiffed the contract owners. Some of the victims understandably brought suit and were awarded a massive victory [...]
Gold is undervalued, it could reach $2,400: strategist
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tU_xRCkEixU Philip Petursson, chief investment strategist at IG Wealth Management, joins BNN Bloomberg to discuss his view on commodities amid geopolitical concerns. Petursson says he doesn't see the price of oil affected by the war in the Middle East. However, he reminds the audience that oil supply could rapidly shift if the conflict escalates. Furthermore, [...]
Is Gold A Manipulated Market? If so, it’s now manipulated upward
Author: JOHN RUBINO Some readers responded to last Wednesday’s post on gold’s trading pattern (Gold: Resistance Is … Finite) with shock that I didn’t know gold is a manipulated market where technicals don’t matter. This gives us a good jumping-off point for a look at several forms of gold manipulation that have been practiced over the years: Wall Street traders use[...]